Earth: How long will it sustain accelerating populations?

EarthA landmark study released today reveals that “…approximately 60 percent of the ecosystem services that support life on Earth – such as fresh water, capture fisheries, air and water regulation, and the regulation of regional climate, natural hazards and pests – are being degraded or used unsustainably. Scientists warn that the harmful consequences of this degradation could grow significantly worse in the next 50 years.

The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) Synthesis Report was a huge initiative undertaken by 1,300 experts in 95 countries. Before you get too excited that hundreds of experts globally might compel the United States government to act, you should know that the study was sponsored by United Nations General-Secretary Kofi Annan who is undoubtedly not on President Bush’s Christmas card list (for being a barrier to “spreading freedom and democracy” to Iraq by not supporting the Weapons of Mass Destruction justification — WMD’s which his own UN inspectors believed to not be there). For more, there is a good CNN article here about my own Minnesota Senator’s efforts against Annan and a blogger’s strong opinion about Senator Coleman here.

The study’s findings are somewhat muted but alarming nonetheless:

  • Humans have changed ecosystems more rapidly and extensively in the last 50 years than in any other period. More land was converted to agriculture since 1945 than in the 18th and 19th centuries combined

  • Capture fisheries (with nets on boats vs. farm fisheries) and fresh water are now well beyond levels that can sustain current, much less future, demands

  • In all the four plausible futures explored by the scientists, they project progress in eliminating hunger, but at far slower rates than needed to materially cut the number of people suffering from hunger by 2015. Experts warn that changes in ecosystems such as deforestation influence the abundance of human pathogens such as malaria and cholera, as well as the risk of emergence of new diseases.

I included the picture above of the Earth in the black void for a reason: I remember when the first picture like that was taken in space in the late 1960′s and it sparked a renaissance in awareness of the importance in protecting the environment As a kid, my school was a participant in “Earth Day” in 1970. We wore gas masks in a smoke filled room (simulating a polluted planet), went in to our gym filled with trash, learned about recycling, and drank dirty water with cigarette butts floating in the glass (all fake of course).

Yeah…it was a bit melodramatic but it worked. I grew up being more sensitive to the environment but was waiting for the crisis which never came. To me, that is the reason why any alarmist behavior fails and why it’s so easy for those in power to turn our back on the rest of the planet who is actually driving toward a goal (the Kyoto Treaty) in an attempt to get to agreement so we can slow or halt the inevitable march toward destruction of the environment.

If we screw up our environment and ecosystem on this blue marble, where we gonna go? So whether the Bush Administration minimizes drilling in the Arctic Wildlife Refuge or disbelieves global warming is occuring or that the Kyoto Treaty would hurt the US economy, just stand in the middle of any major city in the world and take a deep breath at rush hour or do a Google search and invest even a few minutes reading the hundreds of scientists opinions to the contrary.

Articles about the report here, here, here and here.

Scan your Brain and Find its Secrets

Several years ago a member of my family was diagnosed with attention deficit hyperactive disorder (ADHD). Having long suspected I had attention deficit myself, I was pleased that this person would not have to deal with the negative effects of this so-called “ailment” (lots of debate about ADD/ADHD people not “suffering from an ailment” but rather are “hunters in a farmer world” but this is a post unto itself).

All the usual treatments for him were ineffective (homeopathy, exercise, Ritalin, etc.). Then my wife read a life changing book “Healing ADD” by Dr. Daniel Amen. He’d combined clinical diagnosis of ADD/ADHD with Brain SPECT (Single Photon Emission Computed Tomography) imaging. If you click on the image above, it’ll load a bigger size and you can see what this process sees: holes in an ADD/ADHD brain caused by lack of blood flow which is alleviated dramatically with stimulant medications like Ritalin, enhancing concentration and mitigating impulsive behaviors.

Lack of blood flow in the pre-frontal cortex is one of the prime inhibitors in executive function in the brain (which is the “boss” of behavior, focus and judgement) and thus is the fundamental underpinning of the condition known as ADD/ADHD. The result left untreated? Impulsive and risk behaviors, inattention, disorganization and other aspects that the mainstream finds dysfunctional.

We were so stunned with the possibilities of this combination and the possible insight it would provide that we ended up at the Amen Clinic months later for diagnosis and brain scanning.

Without publically disclosing all the stuff that Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA) is designed to protect, let me state that this *was* life changing since we discovered that this family member was being treated incorrectly. Their subtype of ADHD (called “ring of fire”) required a different treatment and the previous Ritalin use was like tossing gasoline on a fire (and this person is doing very, very well now).

Intriguingly, this approach (clinical diagnosis and Brain SPECT scanning) is being used for many kinds of disorders including Alzheimer’s, brain injury, chemical dependency and more.

Easter: Trying to connect this holiday’s dots…

Bunny_3When I was a little kid and looking forward to Easter, I remember being incredibly anxious to hunt for the hidden eggs with candy in them that were hidden all over our house by some magic bunny who’d somehow broken in the night before. Luckily we got to do our egg hunt early on Easter Sunday morning before church or the wait would’ve been too tough (I can only imagine the sugar high we were all on trying to sit still in Mass!).

I also remember being confused about this really fun, bunny-centric egg hunt while fighting to stay awake and silent in a church in which I was so bored. Was this day about a fun rabbit? Or about this guy up there nailed to the Cross who’d died for our sins? These "bunny vs. Christ" thoughts were even more of a struggle since the Mass was in Latin — which I found really distracting. There was a lot of "Dominus vobiscum" (May the Lord be with You) and our response "Et cum spiritu tuo" (And with your Spirit). I played with the words all the time "Dominoes…for Biff is scum" and "Eat gum spirited duo" to keep from fidgeting in my seat but my questioning and discomfort persisted.

It took getting older and discovering that this egg-laden burglar didn’t exist (just like that other guy expert in breaking-n-entering, Santa) and that there was a lot more to these stories and why these faux characters were encroaching upon these two important Christian holidays.

It was enlightening to learn in adulthood that Christian holidays in ancient times — both Easter and Christmas — were made more palatable to the masses by leveraging and coinciding with their traditional pagan holidays Spring Equinox for Easter and the Winter Solstice for Christmas. I further learned that the power and meaning of the exact day for Christmas or Easter were not even close approximations to the actual dates of Christ’s birth or Resurrection which, by the way, are unknown. The more I studied the Bible and facts around the politics of Christ’s time and the decades following his crucifixion (when many of the books of the Bible were written), understood how European monarchs and religious leaders molded and interpreted religious dogma for various purposes, the more gray area I saw and the less absolute my views became.

During my adult life I’ve met and befriended people from all over the world…many of whom practice different religions than I. In fact, approximately 67% of the world’s people practice a different religion than Christianity (roughly 14% of that number are non-religious). This has enabled me to broaden my horizons and elevate my own views of Christianity, my world-view, and my understanding and pursuit of the true nature of God and the universe. (I read once that understanding God is like expecting the opera "La Boheme" to be understood by your cat — but I’m still giving it my best shot).

Gotta run…the police are here. Seems my house was broken in to last night and there is white fur everywhere.

Bloggers and the First Amendment

Repconyers_2_1You know I was agitated in my recent post about the judicial decision in Apple’s favor on making bloggers disclose their sources of so-called trade secrets.

Now Michigan democratic representative, John Conyers, has written a cogent and articulate opinion piece on CNet that made me shout to myself, “Hallelujiah!”.

A few quotes that really resonated with me:

  • The Internet has proved to be the greatest advancement in our ability to disseminate news and information since the invention of the printing press by Gutenberg in 1450.
  • I believe bloggers have shown they warrant First Amendment protection…
  • I agree with Thomas Jefferson’s sentiments when he wrote, “The basis of our government being the opinion of people, the very first object should be to keep that right; and were it left to me to decide whether we should have a government without newspapers, or newspapers without a government, I should not hesitate for a moment to prefer the latter.”
  • Today we stand on the precipice of a new media revolution with the advent of the Internet. We need to protect bloggers’ First Amendment rights so they can help us protect our own citizens’ rights.

With the numerous Congressional and Executive Branch moves toward increased command and control (DMCA, Copyright extensions, Patriot Act, Total Information Awareness, etc.) the need for citizen watchdogging is greater than ever in the U.S. and men like Rep. Conyers standing up with courage like he’s done is critical.

Innovation: Do it or sit and watch?

Where are you personally — or your organization — investing and focusing energy around innovation?

There are numerous books (like this one, this one and this one) in the marketplace that tout formulas or methodologies for capturing the essence of how to drive innovation. My view is that — by the time a book or even a magazine is published — a lot of time has passed that often makes what’s written stale. I further believe that it’s imperative to consume every detail of the area you’re interested in innovating within and have the best knowledge of this space *and* the trends around it that are influencing it.

So studying the area upon which you want to innovate is key. Observing what others are doing is important. But diving in (along with others of complimentary skills) is the only way to build an intuitive feel for how and what needs to be created…and to truly be in a position to deliver disruptive or revolutionary creations.

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T-Mobile: “Hanky” for your Business

That headline should’ve read, “T-Mobile: Thank you for your Business” but it could not since I wanted to cry tonight. Why? Let me give you the Reader’s Digest version of my adventure with T-Mobile.

Daughter drops phone in snow at school last Friday. Display is ruined making the phone virtually unusable. I order a replacement phone on Saturday ($70) and make it extremely clear that she’s leaving for Peru for Spring Break in six days on the following Friday. “Do I need to use overnight service?” I inquire. “Nope. It’ll be there for certain either Wednesday or Thursday.” You can guess that the phone doesn’t appear today.

Of course, all along I’d been tracking the replacement phone package with DHL but — after it fails to be delivered today — I call DHL who tells me that, “Oh…our deal with T-Mobile is that we deliver to the Post Office who delivers to you.”  WTF!?! That means that it will arrive around lunchtime Friday…well past my daughter’s flight departure for Peru.

I call T-Mobile customer service to discover how I can obtain a replacement phone from one of their conveniently located kiosks around the Twin Cities. Invest an hour with several folks (though a supervisor will never actually get on the line). Nothing they can do I’m told. Basically they tell me that — even though it’s their fault for setting incorrect expectations and making a mistake — that I should’ve known to request express shipment. Huh?

So here’s the only recourse I had: I went to a T-Mobile store and paid full retail ($300 with tax) for a phone. T-Mobile has a 14 day return policy. Though I find it morally objectionable to do this (but I’m pissed, so tough) in about 8 days they’ll be receiving back a slightly-Peruvian-used mobile phone and will be placing a credit on my card. I’ll then have my daughter use the replacement phone that will arrive (hopefully) tomorrow or Saturday.

Where’s the lesson? With this one action, T-Mobile has taken a long time customer and pissed him off. I’m publically blogging about this experience. I’ve heard horror stories about Sprint, AT&T, and other providers and have always proferred up T-Mobile as a delightful exception to this rule.

Not any more.

This would’ve been so simple to fix with an authorization to a store location to cough up a phone for a preferred customer. They were protected since — if I kept the replacement phone *and* the one I picked up tonight — they could’ve charged my credit card for both. Little or no risk here. But the customer service folks weren’t empowered and the “process and procedure” was to be followed vs. putting the customer first.

Here’s some irony for you: plastered all over the TMobile web site are the JDPower accolades they’ve received for great customer service.

When technology is outlawed…

Twenty-eight of the world’s largest entertainment companies brought a lawsuit against the makers of the peer-to-peer (P2P) Morpheus, Grokster, and KaZaA software products, aiming to set a precedent to use against other technology companies (P2P and otherwise). It is being vigorously defended by the Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF) and more info is here.

Up until the March 29th Supreme Court hearing on the upholding of the “Sony Betamax precedent” (more info here) which — back in the 1970′s — relieved Sony Corporation of any liability for their customer’s illicit use of this machine to make copies of copyrighted works, the EFF has a “Countdown to the Grokster Argument” that will post daily an “historical” device or technology that *would* be outlawed (if invented in the future) if this lawsuit is lost.

Why should you care?

Well, do you like to use a photo copier? How about the internet itself? Blogs? Your VCR (or TiVo, iPod, or other “infringing” technologies)?

We’re at a crossroads folks. The command-and-control current administration has fostered a climate that is assistive of efforts to contain communications, P2P and other uncontrollable enabling technologies. If you are interested in the proliferation of free speech via bloggers, podcasters and video bloggers; being able to mix music, record TV shows off the air, move this media around your house or car; and use technologies in new and fundamental ways you’ve not yet grasped; stay tuned to this lawsuit resolution and make your voice heard to your elected representatives.

If you don’t care and would rather have others limit your choices, stifle innovation and muffle the voices of dissension in a draconian way, do nothing and pay no attention to that man behind the curtain.

Ourmedia.org: host your media free…forever

Ourmedia.org debuted today! (Though it is an alpha stage release and is currently getting hammered on -- at 4:20pm Central Time -- making it verrrry slow).

So what is it and why do I think it is so cool? “Create. Share. Get noticed. That’s what Ourmedia is about. Ourmedia is a global community and learning center where you can gain visibility for your works of personal media. We’ll host your media forever” for free.

Video blogs, photo albums, home movies, podcasting, digital art, documentary journalism, home-brew political ads, music videos, audio interviews, digital storytelling, children’s tales, Flash animations, student films, mash-ups” all kinds of digital works have begun to flourish as the Internet rises up alongside big media as a place where we’ll gather to inform, entertain and astound each other.”

I’ve been aware of this for some time, but am *very* impressed with what they delivered even if it’s an alpha stage. If it’s this good now…what will the beta be like?  With podcasting, videoblogging, and all of the fabulous tools to create audio and video content, the gating factor has been availability, bandwidth and distribution. This takes a major step toward solving it..though I get concerned that there will be issues with scalability bandwidth that will be hard to solve.

This makes me wonder about their bullet point on an “about” page that simply says “BitTorrent support”. What about deploying open source driven, free edge servers similiar to what Akamai offers? I could see the beneficiaries of this (blogging hosters, audio/video hosting companies) providing a donated node. Or maybe BitTorrent (BT) is the model and Ourmedia will help mainstream the client (or protocols) and have BT built in to devices, software and more.

JD Lasica (founder with Marc Canter…and help from others) has a great writeup on the launch.

All knowledge at-your-fingertips?

Google has debuted “Google Print” in beta and it’s now there for your playing and searching pleasure.

What is the point of this effort? “Google’s mission is to organize the world’s information, but much of that information isn’t yet online. Google Print aims to get it there by putting book content where you can find it most easily right in your Google search results.” An admirable initiative.

But Brewster Kahle at the Internet Archive has done much of this *and* has spread out the Archive’s scope to encompass audio, movies, and more. Brewster’s mission? “The Internet Archive is a 501(c)(3) public nonprofit that was founded to build an Internet library, with the purpose of offering permanent access for researchers, historians, and scholars to historical collections that exist in digital format.

If you’d like to actually hear Brewster Kahle describing this mission in great detail (and it is very entertaining and enlightening), travel over to IT Conversations and download Brewster’s talk. Also, you can peek at an earlier post I did on the announcement on Google Print.

Now a conference about the upcoming revolution in air travel…

Back on December 19th I posted “Get Ready for a Revolution in Air Travel” and I discover today — reading Esther Dyson’s site called “Release 1.0” — that there is an offshoot of her famous PC Forum event called “Flight School.”

In the description Esther opines: “…the premise (is) that the aerospace industry is about to undergo changes as dramatic as the transitions from mainframes to PCs and from the science/R&D/military Internet to today’s vibrant, commercial, vulgar World Wide Web. And like Net entrepreneurs, those in the new world of flight will meet resistance from the old guard: Read legacy airlines for mainframes and discount carriers for the minis. Air taxis will be to the aviation old guard what PCs are to mainframes. And space tourism will appall the purists of old just as e-commerce annoys the scientists.

The early part of the last century found transportation dependent businesses locating near railroad track sidings so as to be able to receive materials and ship goods from one point to their point. Then the acceleration of the trucking industry enabled point-to-multipoint shipping and receiving — for all but the largest and heaviest goods — thus enabling these same types of businesses to locate anywhere. (Of course, it didn’t hurt that midway through that century an interstate highway system achieved critical mass).

Just like the shift from trains to trucking or the ongoing struggle of the use of personal automobiles vs. relatively point-to-point mass transit, multipoint-to-multipoint air taxi’s will clearly match pent-up-demand for flexible long distance travel and shipping with an dynamic infrastructure. As I said in my earlier blog post, air taxi’s will function somewhat like a packet switching internet network vs. a point-to-point circuit switching network like the plain old telephone system…and we all know what’s happening with THAT system as Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) kills it!