Tech and the Desert

Phoenix
Just returned from Scottsdale this morning and water has been on my mind. Two years ago when I wrote Could Water be the Oil of the 21st Century?, I was thinking pretty hard about the possibility that the current growth rates in the desert Southwest weren’t sustainable and the wisdom of a potential second home investment in that region.

No one knows, but I’m reading a lot about water and the desert. The Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) includes a sobering prediction that temperatures in the
American West will increase by an average of nine degrees Fahrenheit by
the end of this century. For more read Denial in the Desert which discusses drought, the draining of the aquifers under the desert, this report and more.

My bride and I looked once again for a second home there but came away without moving forward. Each time we return, the traffic is worse; there are more roads being built; newspapers discuss a far off but looming crisis in water, heat and smog; and the crush of humanity just feels oppressive at times.

Makes me wonder if technology might be the answer.

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Getting Things Done (GTD)

Gtd_3
I’m in Scottsdale, AZ for a client engagement and also seeing several friends this weekend, but today I’m attending David Allen’s Getting Things Done (GTD) seminar.

All my life, as I’ve dealt with my scattered attention that some label a "deficit" or "disorder", I’ve learned how to cope with my innate nature of being distracted and simply not having the patience to sit and organize. Though people describe me as "fastidious" and "very detailed", it’s all an illusion. As I’ve aged and developed high level coping skills while enjoying my love of drinking in every photon, soundwave and piece of information that comes my way or shows up when I’m in seek-mode, I’ve struggled with how to put stuff into buckets that make later retrieval easy. Name a planner or organizational system created by humans and I’ve used it…and none have worked for me. The last possibility I’m willing to explore (and if it doesn’t work I’ll keep shoving crap into my desk drawers) is what seemingly all of geekdom has embraced: the GTD system.

Probably the biggest GTD cheerleader is Merlin Mann through his blog 43 Folders (the name is one descriptor of a part of the GTD system). I’ve followed him for a long time and he points out all the GTD goodness out there (software, approaches, people using it, along with general productivity stuff) but he comes across as a bit obsessive-compulsive about productivity but I really enjoy his energy and love of all things organizational.

I bought David Allen’s book and read it through some months ago. It didn’t really connect so I didn’t pursue the system and then I was chatting with my friend, Marc Orchant, a devotee’ of David Allen and his system. Some time ago he convinced me that "….you really have to experience David in person and go through an on-the-ground seminar to totally get the GTD system." So when he mentioned he was going to a refresher GTD seminar in Scottsdale and the timing was perfect, I signed up.

I also have a hidden agenda. We live in one of the top school districts in the nation and yet our District struggles with what to do with someone like my son. He’s in the 99th percentile for IQ and is so unfocused and disorganized that he forgets to turn in completed assignments. Labeled years ago with ADHD, their solution is to place him in a class to learn organizational skills. There’s more to it than that and his teachers and staff are truly terrific, but when I try to get them to understand how to deal with him, I feel like I’m talking to physicians in the 1600′s who still want to perform bloodletting with leaches to cure what ails him.

If this GTD system can be morphed and modified to be something a 12 year old can use and accelerate his own capabilities with productivity, then I’m going to figure out how to do so. There are too many kids like mine out there who think in a parallel and associative way but are being taught by linear, serial thinkers who expect him to organize in outlines.

I’ll let you know how it goes.

Web 2.0 *Doesn’t* Suck

Glass_woman_2
Let me start with a disclaimer right up front: I’m a pragmatist but am mostly a happy-assed, optimistic, glass-is-51%-full guy. Instead of looking at why something can’t work, doesn’t work or what the issues are, I search for how to make the inefficient efficient; the broken, whole; the impossible more possible. That’s why I rail against the negative which — while he’s amusingly right in so many ways — Charlie O’Donnell’s post about Why Web 2.0 Sucks looks like his glass is nearly empty and I must admit that I think his position sucks.

Are there issues with Web 2.0 as the world gets re-engineered around the Internetwork? No question…but Charlie, read this chunk of a speech by Teddy Roosevelt which I have framed on my office wall:

It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles, or where the doer of deeds could have done them better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood; who strives valiantly; who errs, who comes short again and again, because there is no effort without error and shortcoming; but who does actually strive to do the deeds; who knows great enthusiasms, the great devotions; who spends himself in a worthy cause; who at the best knows in the end the triumph of high achievement, and who at the worst, if he fails, at least fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who neither know victory nor defeat.

So in that spirit, I’d prefer to focus on all the reasons why Web 2.0 is working and appreciate and admire the “doers of deeds” as Roosevelt refers to them. The items that don’t work in Web 2.0 don’t “suck” as Charlie refers to them, but rather are blazing an infinite number of trails as the builders of the next generation Web strive valiantly while admittedly quite often committing errors and experiencing shortcomings.

Web 2.0 as a concept is working because the world is transitioning from a closed model to one that is open and transparent. A world where the Internet is the primary connection network for knowledge. There is, and always will be, great resistance from the status quo whose business models, gross margins and livelihood are being disrupted…but the innovation in virtually every category I care about is stunning and I’m personally experiencing the profound transformations being brought about by those daring greatly. Is Web 2.0 ‘complete’? No…but we’re sure learning in a helluva hurry what works and what doesn’t….and what needs to be made efficient, whole and more possible.

Perhaps Charlie will appreciate that I found his post on Techmeme, a conversation tracker of the blogosphere and that the irony won’t be lost on him that his voice in the wilderness wouldn’t even have an audience (other than his pals at the watercooler listening to him rant) had it not been for innovation, participation and the connections facilitated by the Web 2.0 visionaries.

Autonomy+Virage = Dominant *media* search engine?


Virage



Autonomy announced Wednesday that they’re getting back into the consumer search space…one they quietly exited in 2000. Search is key for certain, but what REALLY trips-my-trigger is a company they acquired some time ago.

When I was at Vignette during and after the dot.com adventure, we were the web content management engine behind numerous marquee sites with rich media.  One of our partners — on whom I drank the KoolAid about their value proposition by the gallon — was a company called Virage. These guys had an incredibly cool technology that could index a *huge* amount of video, audio or images and index what lived inside this unstructured media content: facial recognition; the closed captioning track; speech-to-text; real-time analysis and encoding of streaming media (which to me was THE COOLEST thing and something uStream.tv, Podshow or any other media site should drool over); and a whole lot more.

Virage’s customer list is a who’s who of media companies globally. In the summer of 2003 they were acquired by Autonomy who has also sold licenses of their core search technology to intelligence agencies (seemed like a good fit: the Virage sweet-spot is media…Autonomy’s is static content plus context and more and both needed desperately in a post-9/11 world).

Here’s some of their marketing speak and why you might be interested:

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Vision: THE most important first step…

Vision
Nothing happens without a vision. Nothing gets created, manifested, built, or moved forward without a vision of an outcome.

Almost on a daily basis, I’m being bombarded with the benefits of visualization in my work, my personal life and as I guide others. If you don’t already visualize before you set personal goals, build a plan or, especially, if you lead an organization, team, or group, then you owe it to yourself to begin.

Just to illustrate how vision is showing up everywhere, at the Web 2.0 Expo’s Hybrid Designer session Chris Messina said something that hit me in the face and has stuck with me.  In a discussion about the challenges facing designers with a creative vision struggling to get programmers to see the outcome of that vision so they could code to it, he talked about how he mocked up a visual when they were creating Flock, posted it to Flickr so that the geographically disbursed development team could all get on a call and talk about that vision. Without that shared vision, Chris said, the coordination of the team on a shared vision would’ve taken 6 weeks and dozens of threads in a discussion forum. Instead, it took 2-3 days.

No question this sharing of vision — and the co-creating that goes along with that sharing — is the single reason that I’m so incredibly enthused about the accelerating connection of humanity via the Internet and all the open source projects, Web 2.0 startups, and commercial software companies that are rushing to deliver ever-increasingly functional collaborative applications and platforms.

After dozens of people my bride and I know talked about the film The Secret, she purchased it. It was very well done and focused on one piece of sage wisdom: The Secret is a feature length, historic and factually based account of an age old secret, said to be 4000 years in the making, and known only to a fortunate few. The Secret promises to reveal this great knowledge to the world – the secret to wealth, the secret to health, the secret to love, relationships, happiness, eternal youth, the secret to life. The secret? The Law of Attraction which is creating a vision of what you want and expect to show up…and how it works when you align your intent, your energy and your focus on it.

Why should I care about vision Borsch?

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Is Apple in the same game as Adobe and Microsoft?

Ria_runtimes_2
As Adobe Apollo and Microsoft Silverlight garner significant attention in the emerging rich internet application space, where is Apple?

With arguably the richest set of consumer, prosumer and professional content creation tools in video, audio and a platform the preferred one for creative professionals, why are they not in this game?

With 100 million iPods sold — and one could assume that easily 50M computers now have Quicktime on them (iTunes download includes Quicktime), then there is a critical mass of players on computers so why are they not playing?

Or are they?

I first began wondering about this last year and was pleased to see Ryan Stewart ask the same question on his ZDNet blog (a month later a wrap up post he did is here about the entire category). He did a great job on the initial post and then received several comments that clarified his position. He’s long since updated the original post which I’ve linked to and it will give you some of the reasons why some people don’t think a cross platform runtime with Quicktime is achievable.

The Quicktime “container” can do numerous interesting media playback like support most major image formats; most video formats; streaming protocols; 3GPP and 3GPP2 for cellular telephony; H.264 (the big deal video codec); and AAC for audio.

Apple says here: When you distribute your media in QuickTime, you automatically gain access to a massive platform. Available for both Windows and Mac, QuickTime 6 was downloaded more than 350 million times. Moreover 98% of those downloads were from PC users, at a rate of over 10 million per month. QuickTime offers a mature platform with thousands of professional and consumer authoring applications.

So where is Apple and why aren’t they positioning this container as one that delivers some (much?) of what Apollo and Silverlight can do…and then some?

People Oriented Architecture

Henryford
Henry Ford invented what? The automobile? Nope. Oh yeah, the assembly line? Nope. What Ford *did* do was something more profound: he and his team discovered radical processes that could be brought to automobile production and dramatically lower costs, increase efficiency and raise quality. He didn’t invent the assembly line, he just mapped it on to automobile making in startlingly new ways and mass production was born.

Before Ford’s breakthrough, all automobiles were assembled in one spot, with all parts and people coming to it vs. the radical departure of having the auto move along an assembly line where parts and people were efficiently placed and able to assemble it dynamically.

This assembly line paradigm wasn’t new. Eli Whitney’s cotton gin manufacturing employed these principles as did the meat processing industry. One of Ford’s key managers visited a Chicago meat processing plant where he saw the dis-assembly of cows moving along a conveyor belt and had an “Aha!” moment where he realized that a reversed process could assemble goods.

All of this was brought back to Ford who’d been seeking better ways of producing cars and had a vision for consumerism. His next breakthrough of raising wages to $5 enabled his own production workers to actually afford the cars they were making.

In the enterprise world, today’s information technology architecture is all about running the business more efficiently and competitively. Cycle time reduction, business process and workflow, enterprise resource planning, analytics, are but a few of the buzz phrases that define the categories targeted.

Where do people fit in today’s IT architecture’s other than acting as production workers on a knowledge assembly line?  What is the breakthrough analog to today’s business and I.T. architectures that will rival Ford’s profound application of mass production?

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Web 2.0 and Internet-as-a-Platform: It’s still WAY too hard

Mangazing_2
Joe had built a publishing and consulting business over many, many years but it was changing…and not for the better. Though his clients and customers loved his products and services, he found that sales had been continuing to erode even though he was bringing out new products at a feverish pace.

New products always sold well but it was exhausting to scramble to make them and he had a vague sense that the problem wasn’t his information, his insights or his delivery…it was a shift in how his clients and customers were obtaining what he created and at some point it wouldn’t matter how many new products he shoved into the pipeline…people would stop buying. They were already pretty disinterested in his print, DVD’s or most of the electronic delivery he offered. There had to be a better way to deliver what clients and customers wanted and start to grow again instead of focusing on how to stop the decline in revenue.

All Joe heard about was Web 2.0; how big media was scrambling to be relevant; that people were creating their own content and many tried to convince him to give away his product and build buzz (yeah right…and go out of business to boot!); that the collective intelligence connected via the Internet was smarter than any company, individual or small team so that unless he figured out how to build a community around what his firm offered, he was screwed.

It became crystal clear to him that — just like all the other business types being disrupted by the Internet-as-a-platform and Web 2.0 — he had to quickly map his business on to the Internet while ensuring he didn’t kill his current revenue streams. It was going to require some finesse to shift his current clients and customers over to the Web while still selling them his other offerings…but he thought they would do it. Yep…building a web asset was the key and he set about enthusiastically building one in earnest.

What he discovered wasn’t pretty.

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Barcamp: MinneBar

Fearlessfacilitators_2
Though I had another commitment so left a bit early, I attended 60% of today’s Barcamp:Minnebar. Our fearless facilitators are shown at left: Ben Edwards, Dan Grigsby and Luke Francl locally here in Minnesota. This unconference drew >350 signups and I don’t know how many people ended up attending…but it was more than I’ve ever seen at a Minnesota geekfest.

Thankfully there were great sponsors including Dow Jones Online, SplitRock Partners, Electric Pulp, IconNicholson and New Counsel, with reasonably speedy Wifi provided by ipHouse. It made this a seamless event with all needs met and, with our fearless facilitators Luke, Dan and Ben scrambling to ensure it ran smoothly, I was stunned it flowed as well as it did.

The event kicked off with William Gurstelle who I originally saw on TechTV’s The Screen Savers with his backyard potato gun project.  Here he is showing it off:

Read on to see a brief snippet video of the opening introduction by our fearless facilitators and a few more pictures…

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Google Web History: Moths to a flame

Mothtoflame
Continuing on my theme of yesterday about Google and them being the flame to which moths like us are flying straight in to — with little knowledge or regard for that fact that we could get burned whether or not Google continues to “do no evil” going forward — I give you Google Web History.

UPDATE: CNET has news on a complaint on Google filed at the Federal Trade Commission with links to some articles and sites that are really enlightening. Copy of the complaint is here (PDF) and contains this point, “The acquisition of DoubleClick will permit Google to track both a person’s Internet searches and a person’s web site visits. This could impact the privacy interests of 233 million Internet users in North America, 314 million Internet users in Europe, and more than 1.1 billion Internet users around the world.

One reason I turned off Google Search History a few days after turning it on (the predecessor to Web History) was that I had a keen sense that allowing Google to have an audit trail of my seeking and viewing behavior was a really bad idea — especially in a day of subpoena happy law enforcement — even though I’m the prototypical model citizen. Let’s look at six applications and see why I sometimes ask myself whether I’m being paranoid, an alarmist or just watchful:

1) Gmail allows Google to match IP address to user. As long as I’m logged in and use the same browser, they’re aware of other Google services I use and could (not saying they do) collate all Google services traffic emanating from that IP address/machine (Gmail’s state is pretty persistent and perhaps you notice that their requirement to re-login are few and the session length is pretty liberal…they almost never kick me off)

2) Google Search gives them a Database of Intention (to use a term coined by John Batelle in The Search) that — since I’m logged into Gmail — is a capture of every single search ever performed. Google can undoubtedly capture my search use regardless if I’ve got Google Search History turned on or not

3) Google Analytics is so robust and free that I’ve placed their tracking code all over the web sites and web assets I own or am involved in as has virtually everyone else I know. So Google doesn’t just have the ability to spider sites, they also now have a view into process (someone’s clickstream through a site)

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